Central Arkansas Bears 71, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated Central Arkansas Bears 75–71 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 4:18 swung win probability 5% → 74%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 29 | 34 | 8 | 71 |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 32 | 31 | 12 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 4:18 swung win probability 5% → 74%.
Why Central Arkansas Bears lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at OT 4:18 (win probability 5% → 74% for the home side).
- Shot 46.7% eFG vs a 54.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 8–0 | H1 4:27 | 44% → 76% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 9–0 | H2 13:43 | 80% → 38% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 12–0 | OT 4:18 | 5% → 74% |