Central Arkansas Bears 88, Stetson Hatters 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated Stetson Hatters 88–76 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 15:06 swung win probability 62% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stetson Hatters lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 52 | 36 | 88 |
| Stetson Hatters | 26 | 50 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 15:06 swung win probability 62% → 25%.
Why Stetson Hatters lost
- Lost H1 26-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 0:40 (win probability 6% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
- Outscored 15-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 10–0 | H1 15:06 | 62% → 25% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 11–0 | H1 5:56 | 36% → 4% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 13–0 | H1 0:40 | 6% → 0% |
| Stetson Hatters | 10–0 | H2 6:17 | 0% → 0% |
| Stetson Hatters | 10–0 | H2 2:38 | 0% → 0% |