Austin Peay Governors 77, North Florida Ospreys 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Austin Peay Governors
Austin Peay Governors defeated North Florida Ospreys 77–76 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 6:10 swung win probability 69% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Florida Ospreys lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Peay Governors | 29 | 48 | 77 |
| North Florida Ospreys | 43 | 33 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 6:10 swung win probability 69% → 95%.
Why North Florida Ospreys lost
- Lost H2 33-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 13:33 (win probability 98% → 79% for the home side).
- Shot 45.5% eFG vs a 53.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 10–0 | H1 6:10 | 69% → 95% |
| Austin Peay Governors | 9–0 | H2 13:33 | 98% → 79% |