Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 74, Eastern Kentucky Colonels 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Eastern Kentucky Colonels defeated Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 76–74 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 5:32 swung win probability 3% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 26 | 50 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 5:32 swung win probability 3% → 86%.
Why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost
- Lost H2 35-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H2 5:32 (win probability 3% → 86% for the home side).
- Outscored 20-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 9–0 | H1 9:45 | 38% → 72% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 18–0 | H1 0:33 | 68% → 4% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 8–0 | H2 13:28 | 5% → 0% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 10–0 | H2 9:26 | 0% → 6% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 15–0 | H2 5:32 | 3% → 86% |