Eastern Kentucky Colonels 85, North Florida Ospreys 87
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: North Florida Ospreys
North Florida Ospreys defeated Eastern Kentucky Colonels 87–85 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 7:25 swung win probability 97% → 55%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 44 | 41 | 85 |
| North Florida Ospreys | 41 | 46 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 7:25 swung win probability 97% → 55%.
Why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 9:35 (win probability 63% → 97% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 8–0 | H2 10:24 | 94% → 63% |
| North Florida Ospreys | 8–0 | H2 9:35 | 63% → 97% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 9–0 | H2 7:25 | 97% → 55% |