North Florida Ospreys 69, Central Arkansas Bears 98
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated North Florida Ospreys 98–69 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 29-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:40 swung win probability 69% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Florida Ospreys lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 23 | 46 | 69 |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 50 | 48 | 98 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:40 swung win probability 69% → 91%.
Why North Florida Ospreys lost
- Lost H1 23-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H2 19:06 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-7.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 8–0 | H1 10:40 | 69% → 91% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 11–0 | H1 7:01 | 84% → 99% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 16–0 | H2 19:06 | 98% → 100% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 8–0 | H2 16:23 | 100% → 100% |
| North Florida Ospreys | 11–0 | H2 0:14 | 100% → 100% |