Jacksonville Dolphins 60, Central Arkansas Bears 62
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated Jacksonville Dolphins 62–60 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 10:43 swung win probability 72% → 29%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville Dolphins lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 25 | 37 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 10:43 swung win probability 72% → 29%.
Why Jacksonville Dolphins lost
- Lost H2 25-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 4:04 (win probability 21% → 50% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 11–0 | H1 10:43 | 72% → 29% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 8–0 | H1 4:04 | 21% → 50% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 8–0 | H2 7:36 | 8% → 47% |