Central Arkansas Bears 75, Eastern Kentucky Colonels 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Eastern Kentucky Colonels defeated Central Arkansas Bears 79–75 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 0:06 swung win probability 11% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 37 | 32 | 6 | 75 |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 40 | 29 | 10 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 0:06 swung win probability 11% → 100%.
Why Central Arkansas Bears lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 11:06 (win probability 59% → 93% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 11–0 | H1 15:47 | 60% → 22% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 8–0 | H1 10:17 | 27% → 54% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 9–0 | H2 11:06 | 59% → 93% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 8–0 | OT 0:06 | 11% → 100% |