Central Arkansas Bears 78, Bellarmine Knights 84
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Bellarmine Knights
Bellarmine Knights defeated Central Arkansas Bears 84–78 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 5:18 swung win probability 24% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 38 | 33 | 7 | 78 |
| Bellarmine Knights | 39 | 32 | 13 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 5:18 swung win probability 24% → 65%.
Why Central Arkansas Bears lost
- Lost OT 7-13 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 5:18 (win probability 24% → 65% for the home side).
- Shot 43.9% eFG vs a 54.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | 11–0 | H1 5:18 | 24% → 65% |