Stetson Hatters 73, Central Arkansas Bears 93
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated Stetson Hatters 93–73 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 13:03 swung win probability 50% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stetson Hatters lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Hatters | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 41 | 52 | 93 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 13:03 swung win probability 50% → 78%.
Why Stetson Hatters lost
- Lost H1 28-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 10:27 (win probability 97% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 8–0 | H1 13:03 | 50% → 78% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 9–0 | H1 10:27 | 69% → 92% |
| Stetson Hatters | 8–0 | H2 17:44 | 99% → 88% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 14–0 | H2 10:27 | 97% → 100% |