Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 83, Central Arkansas Bears 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 85–83 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 4:58 swung win probability 20% → 55%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 40 | 43 | 83 |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 37 | 48 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 4:58 swung win probability 20% → 55%.
Why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 4:58 (win probability 20% → 55% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-5.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 8–0 | H1 17:14 | 55% → 26% |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 9–0 | H1 4:58 | 20% → 55% |