Little Rock Trojans 77, Western Illinois Leathernecks 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Little Rock Trojans
Little Rock Trojans defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 77–58 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 19-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 8:27 swung win probability 65% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 35 | 42 | 77 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24 | 34 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 8:27 swung win probability 65% → 27%.
Why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost
- Lost H1 24-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 1:13 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 9–0 | H1 8:27 | 65% → 27% |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 8–0 | H2 8:03 | 1% → 13% |
| Little Rock Trojans | 10–0 | H2 1:13 | 0% → 0% |