Western Illinois Leathernecks 79, Little Rock Trojans 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Little Rock Trojans
Little Rock Trojans defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 86–79 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 12:55 swung win probability 58% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 41 | 38 | 79 |
| Little Rock Trojans | 50 | 36 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 12:55 swung win probability 58% → 86%.
Why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost
- Lost H1 41-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 12:55 (win probability 58% → 86% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 9–0 | H1 12:55 | 58% → 86% |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 8–0 | H2 13:13 | 99% → 87% |