California Baptist Lancers 82, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 82–75 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 10:56 swung win probability 50% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 45 | 37 | 82 |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32 | 43 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 10:56 swung win probability 50% → 12%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost H1 32-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 10:56 (win probability 50% → 12% for the home side).
- Shot 48.2% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 11–0 | H1 10:56 | 50% → 12% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | H1 7:25 | 16% → 3% |