Abilene Christian Wildcats 48, California Baptist Lancers 87
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Abilene Christian Wildcats 87–48 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 39-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:53 swung win probability 75% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19 | 29 | 48 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 49 | 38 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:53 swung win probability 75% → 94%.
Why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost
- Lost H1 19-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 0:00 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.1% eFG vs a 48.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | H1 13:53 | 75% → 94% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 10–0 | H1 0:00 | 100% → 100% |