Tarleton State Texans 67, California Baptist Lancers 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Tarleton State Texans 82–67 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 11:28 swung win probability 90% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 40 | 42 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 11:28 swung win probability 90% → 98%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost
- Lost H1 29-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 11:28 (win probability 90% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 43.0% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | H1 11:28 | 90% → 98% |