UT Arlington Mavericks 56, California Baptist Lancers 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated UT Arlington Mavericks 68–56 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 3:40 swung win probability 64% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Arlington Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 27 | 29 | 56 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 40 | 28 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 3:40 swung win probability 64% → 94%.
Why UT Arlington Mavericks lost
- Lost H1 27-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 3:40 (win probability 64% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 48.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 10–0 | H1 3:40 | 64% → 94% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | H2 9:33 | 89% → 100% |