Southern Utah Thunderbirds 74, Tarleton State Texans 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Tarleton State Texans
Tarleton State Texans defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 78–74 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 4:34 swung win probability 27% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 36 | 38 | 74 |
| Tarleton State Texans | 44 | 34 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 4:34 swung win probability 27% → 76%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost H1 36-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 4:34 (win probability 27% → 76% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 12–0 | H1 4:34 | 27% → 76% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 8–0 | H1 0:56 | 68% → 93% |