California Baptist Lancers 83, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 66
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 83–66 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 16:39 swung win probability 23% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 43 | 40 | 83 |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 36 | 30 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 16:39 swung win probability 23% → 2%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost H2 30-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 0:56 (win probability 9% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 48.2% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | H2 16:39 | 23% → 2% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 14–0 | H2 0:56 | 9% → 0% |