Abilene Christian Wildcats 63, California Baptist Lancers 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Abilene Christian Wildcats 65–63 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 3:54 swung win probability 94% → 31%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 26 | 37 | 63 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 32 | 33 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 3:54 swung win probability 94% → 31%.
Why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost
- Lost H1 26-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 10:59 (win probability 62% → 87% for the home side).
- Shot 38.1% eFG vs a 48.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | H1 10:59 | 62% → 87% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | H2 3:54 | 94% → 31% |