California Baptist Lancers 87, UT Arlington Mavericks 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated UT Arlington Mavericks 87–77 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 2:10 swung win probability 54% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Arlington Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 35 | 33 | 19 | 87 |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 31 | 37 | 9 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 2:10 swung win probability 54% → 0%.
Why UT Arlington Mavericks lost
- Lost OT 9-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at OT 2:10 (win probability 54% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 42.3% eFG vs a 48.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 25-17 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 8–0 | H2 0:32 | 2% → 36% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | OT 2:10 | 54% → 0% |