Tarleton State Texans 105, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 106
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Southern Utah Thunderbirds defeated Tarleton State Texans 106–105 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 15:38 swung win probability 60% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 44 | 48 | 13 | 105 |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52 | 40 | 14 | 106 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 15:38 swung win probability 60% → 89%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost
- Lost H1 44-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 15:38 (win probability 60% → 89% for the home side).
- Outscored 31-21 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 11–0 | H1 15:38 | 60% → 89% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 9–0 | H2 7:48 | 96% → 69% |