Southern Utah Thunderbirds 55, California Baptist Lancers 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 58–55 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 2:55 swung win probability 64% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 22 | 33 | 55 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 24 | 34 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 2:55 swung win probability 64% → 100%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 2:55 (win probability 64% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 12-6.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-14.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 10–0 | H2 5:49 | 99% → 64% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 11–0 | H2 2:55 | 64% → 100% |