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UT Arlington Mavericks 86, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 77

NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UT Arlington Mavericks

UT Arlington Mavericks defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 86–77 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 15:12 swung win probability 53% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
UT Arlington Mavericks374986
Southern Utah Thunderbirds413677

Win probability

Southern Utah Thunderbirds win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Southern Utah Thunderbirds) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 15:12 swung win probability 53% → 6%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Southern Utah Thunderbirds9–0H1 14:1662% → 88%
Southern Utah Thunderbirds9–0H1 9:0472% → 94%
UT Arlington Mavericks8–0H1 6:0391% → 68%
UT Arlington Mavericks9–0H2 18:2584% → 42%
UT Arlington Mavericks11–0H2 15:1253% → 6%

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