California Baptist Lancers 51, UT Arlington Mavericks 63
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: UT Arlington Mavericks
UT Arlington Mavericks defeated California Baptist Lancers 63–51 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:45 swung win probability 92% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Baptist Lancers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 26 | 25 | 51 |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 28 | 35 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:45 swung win probability 92% → 100%.
Why California Baptist Lancers lost
- Lost H2 25-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 0:45 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 43.6% eFG vs a 48.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-10.
- Outscored 20-10 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 9–0 | H2 0:45 | 92% → 100% |