Tarleton State Texans 69, UT Arlington Mavericks 63
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Tarleton State Texans
Tarleton State Texans defeated UT Arlington Mavericks 69–63 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 19:12 swung win probability 13% → 54%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Arlington Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 30 | 33 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 19:12 swung win probability 13% → 54%.
Why UT Arlington Mavericks lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:55 (win probability 41% → 13% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 8–0 | H1 8:55 | 41% → 13% |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 10–0 | H1 1:55 | 4% → 23% |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 10–0 | H2 19:12 | 13% → 54% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 8–0 | H2 4:39 | 39% → 0% |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 9–0 | H2 1:29 | 0% → 33% |