Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 75, Missouri State Bears 63
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated Missouri State Bears 75–63 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 0:58 swung win probability 55% → 18%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| Missouri State Bears | 27 | 36 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 0:58 swung win probability 55% → 18%.
Why Missouri State Bears lost
- Lost H1 27-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 14:41 (win probability 83% → 54% for the home side).
- Shot 46.4% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9–0 | H1 14:41 | 83% → 54% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H1 0:58 | 55% → 18% |