Jacksonville State Gamecocks 75, New Mexico State Aggies 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies defeated Jacksonville State Gamecocks 77–75 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 14:34 swung win probability 35% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 33 | 35 | 7 | 75 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 24 | 44 | 9 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 14:34 swung win probability 35% → 7%.
Why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost
- Lost H2 35-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 7:03 (win probability 12% → 37% for the home side).
- Shot 38.9% eFG vs a 50.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 9–0 | H1 7:03 | 12% → 37% |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 8–0 | H2 14:34 | 35% → 7% |