Missouri State Bears 81, Sam Houston Bearkats 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Sam Houston Bearkats
Sam Houston Bearkats defeated Missouri State Bears 86–81 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 10:06 swung win probability 54% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 34 | 47 | 81 |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 43 | 43 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 10:06 swung win probability 54% → 91%.
Why Missouri State Bears lost
- Lost H1 34-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 10:06 (win probability 54% → 91% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 8–0 | H1 13:03 | 81% → 54% |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 12–0 | H1 10:06 | 54% → 91% |