New Mexico State Aggies 85, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated New Mexico State Aggies 86–85 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 18:04 swung win probability 60% → 24%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 42 | 34 | 9 | 85 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36 | 40 | 10 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 18:04 swung win probability 60% → 24%.
Why New Mexico State Aggies lost
- Lost H2 34-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Outscored 21-12 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 8–0 | H2 18:04 | 60% → 24% |