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Jacksonville State Gamecocks 78, Sam Houston Bearkats 82

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Sam Houston Bearkats

Sam Houston Bearkats defeated Jacksonville State Gamecocks 82–78 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 0:23 swung win probability 42% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Jacksonville State Gamecocks265278
Sam Houston Bearkats364682

Win probability

Sam Houston Bearkats win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Sam Houston Bearkats) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 0:23 swung win probability 42% → 93%.
Why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Jacksonville State Gamecocks10–0H1 9:4265% → 25%
Sam Houston Bearkats8–0H1 7:0725% → 56%
Sam Houston Bearkats14–0H1 0:2342% → 93%
Sam Houston Bearkats8–0H2 15:5990% → 99%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks11–0H2 8:33100% → 77%

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