Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 70, Sam Houston Bearkats 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Sam Houston Bearkats
Sam Houston Bearkats defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 78–70 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:48 swung win probability 61% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 44 | 34 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:48 swung win probability 61% → 87%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost H1 32-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 10:48 (win probability 61% → 87% for the home side).
- Shot 47.7% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 8–0 | H1 10:48 | 61% → 87% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H2 17:25 | 98% → 85% |