Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 79, Missouri State Bears 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs defeated Missouri State Bears 79–78 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT2 1:25 swung win probability 90% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 36 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 79 |
| Missouri State Bears | 32 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT2 1:25 swung win probability 90% → 0%.
Why Missouri State Bears lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 7:41 (win probability 92% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 40.0% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 9–0 | H1 15:02 | 57% → 83% |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 7:41 | 92% → 72% |
| Missouri State Bears | 9–0 | H2 7:56 | 31% → 73% |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 9–0 | OT2 1:25 | 90% → 0% |