Missouri State Bears 76, Liberty Flames 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames defeated Missouri State Bears 79–76 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at H2 15:58 swung win probability 59% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| Liberty Flames | 42 | 37 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at H2 15:58 swung win probability 59% → 99%.
Why Missouri State Bears lost
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H2 15:58 (win probability 59% → 99% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 8–0 | H1 13:10 | 54% → 81% |
| Missouri State Bears | 8–0 | H1 11:12 | 81% → 53% |
| Liberty Flames | 16–0 | H2 15:58 | 59% → 99% |
| Missouri State Bears | 9–0 | H2 2:51 | 100% → 100% |