Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 65, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 60
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 65–60 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 2:37 swung win probability 72% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 30 | 35 | 65 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 23 | 37 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 2:37 swung win probability 72% → 27%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost H1 23-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 2:37 (win probability 72% → 27% for the home side).
- Shot 44.0% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 12-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 10–0 | H1 16:02 | 66% → 91% |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 8–0 | H1 12:00 | 91% → 72% |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 10–0 | H1 2:37 | 72% → 27% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H2 0:16 | 0% → 1% |