Jacksonville State Gamecocks 67, Missouri State Bears 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears defeated Jacksonville State Gamecocks 74–67 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 0:23 swung win probability 68% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| Missouri State Bears | 39 | 35 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 0:23 swung win probability 68% → 100%.
Why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost
- Lost H1 31-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 17:35 (win probability 84% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 42.6% eFG vs a 50.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-12.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 11–0 | H2 17:35 | 84% → 100% |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 10–0 | H2 11:09 | 99% → 85% |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 8–0 | H2 4:38 | 99% → 82% |
| Missouri State Bears | 8–0 | H2 0:23 | 68% → 100% |