Liberty Flames 81, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 81–65 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 11:09 swung win probability 50% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 43 | 38 | 81 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 29 | 36 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 11:09 swung win probability 50% → 20%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost H1 29-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 8:40 (win probability 10% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 11-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 8–0 | H1 11:09 | 50% → 20% |
| Liberty Flames | 9–0 | H2 18:13 | 13% → 1% |
| Liberty Flames | 10–0 | H2 8:40 | 10% → 0% |