Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 58, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-23 · Winner: Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 75–58 on 2026-01-23 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at H1 10:08 swung win probability 58% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 34 | 24 | 58 |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 39 | 36 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at H1 10:08 swung win probability 58% → 97%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost H2 24-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H1 10:08 (win probability 58% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 45.5% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 16–0 | H1 10:08 | 58% → 97% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H1 6:34 | 95% → 76% |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 10–0 | H2 18:01 | 64% → 96% |