Missouri State Bears 84, New Mexico State Aggies 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears defeated New Mexico State Aggies 84–75 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at H1 10:42 swung win probability 66% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 33 | 51 | 84 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 31 | 44 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at H1 10:42 swung win probability 66% → 10%.
Why New Mexico State Aggies lost
- Lost H2 44-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H1 10:42 (win probability 66% → 10% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 16–0 | H1 10:42 | 66% → 10% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 14–0 | H1 1:57 | 5% → 45% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 8–0 | H2 18:47 | 34% → 73% |