Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 58, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 59
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 59–58 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 0:04 swung win probability 2% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 40 | 18 | 58 |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21 | 38 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 0:04 swung win probability 2% → 100%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost H2 18-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 0:04 (win probability 2% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 45.4% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H1 15:52 | 75% → 47% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 13–0 | H1 11:23 | 58% → 12% |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 0:04 | 2% → 100% |