Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 59, New Mexico State Aggies 55
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated New Mexico State Aggies 59–55 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:18 swung win probability 73% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 29 | 30 | 59 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 29 | 26 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:18 swung win probability 73% → 33%.
Why New Mexico State Aggies lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 4:24 (win probability 91% → 60% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 13–0 | H1 14:34 | 55% → 92% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 10–0 | H1 4:24 | 91% → 60% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H2 19:18 | 73% → 33% |