Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 64, New Mexico State Aggies 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies defeated Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 80–64 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 16:14 swung win probability 69% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 28 | 36 | 64 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 46 | 34 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 16:14 swung win probability 69% → 94%.
Why Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost
- Lost H1 28-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 16:14 (win probability 69% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 34.6% eFG vs a 48.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 26-17 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 11–0 | H1 16:14 | 69% → 94% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 8–0 | H1 14:20 | 91% → 98% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 9–0 | H1 10:09 | 93% → 99% |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 11–0 | H1 0:42 | 100% → 99% |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 8–0 | H2 14:42 | 100% → 94% |