Sam Houston Bearkats 67, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated Sam Houston Bearkats 68–67 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 12:05 swung win probability 40% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sam Houston Bearkats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 34 | 34 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 12:05 swung win probability 40% → 84%.
Why Sam Houston Bearkats lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 11:41 (win probability 81% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-10.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 11–0 | H1 11:41 | 81% → 98% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | H2 12:05 | 40% → 84% |