New Mexico State Aggies 82, Missouri State Bears 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears defeated New Mexico State Aggies 89–82 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 12:12 swung win probability 84% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 41 | 41 | 82 |
| Missouri State Bears | 53 | 36 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 12:12 swung win probability 84% → 98%.
Why New Mexico State Aggies lost
- Lost H1 41-53 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 12:12 (win probability 84% → 98% for the home side).
- Outscored 29-19 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 10–0 | H1 12:12 | 84% → 98% |