Sam Houston Bearkats 78, New Mexico State Aggies 87
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies defeated Sam Houston Bearkats 87–78 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 17:28 swung win probability 52% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sam Houston Bearkats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 28 | 50 | 78 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 48 | 39 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 17:28 swung win probability 52% → 83%.
Why Sam Houston Bearkats lost
- Lost H1 28-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 17:28 (win probability 52% → 83% for the home side).
- Shot 44.1% eFG vs a 53.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 12-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 10–0 | H1 17:28 | 52% → 83% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 8–0 | H2 12:50 | 95% → 100% |