Indiana Pacers 125, Miami Heat 145
NBA · 2026-10-30 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Indiana Pacers 145–125 on 2026-10-30 in NBA play, a 20-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:00 swung win probability 26% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Indiana Pacers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 42 | 19 | 27 | 37 | 125 |
| Miami Heat | 36 | 32 | 35 | 42 | 145 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:00 swung win probability 26% → 85%.
Why Indiana Pacers lost
- Lost Q2 19-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q2 3:00 (win probability 26% → 85% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 9–0 | Q1 2:40 | 71% → 39% |
| Miami Heat | 16–0 | Q2 3:00 | 26% → 85% |
| Miami Heat | 11–0 | Q3 9:30 | 80% → 99% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q4 9:46 | 100% → 100% |