Houston Rockets 125, Denver Nuggets 128
NBA · 2025-12-15 · Winner: Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets defeated Houston Rockets 128–125 on 2025-12-15 in NBA play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 2:59 swung win probability 42% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Houston Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 30 | 21 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 125 |
| Denver Nuggets | 24 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 11 | 128 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 2:59 swung win probability 42% → 100%.
Why Houston Rockets lost
- Lost Q2 21-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 0:24 (win probability 52% → 87% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Outscored 27-19 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 10–0 | Q2 0:24 | 52% → 87% |
| Houston Rockets | 8–0 | Q3 3:08 | 74% → 35% |
| Denver Nuggets | 8–0 | OT 2:59 | 42% → 100% |