Miami Heat 114, Toronto Raptors 128
NBA · 2026-04-09 · Winner: Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors defeated Miami Heat 128–114 on 2026-04-09 in NBA play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:18 swung win probability 30% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 26 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 114 |
| Toronto Raptors | 32 | 37 | 33 | 26 | 128 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:18 swung win probability 30% → 58%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q2 24-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 1:58 (win probability 85% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-6.
- Outscored 27-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q1 5:18 | 30% → 58% |
| Toronto Raptors | 11–0 | Q2 1:58 | 85% → 99% |
| Toronto Raptors | 11–0 | Q3 10:43 | 97% → 100% |
| Miami Heat | 10–0 | Q3 7:04 | 100% → 97% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q3 5:16 | 99% → 87% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q4 0:22 | 100% → 100% |