Orlando Magic 138, Dallas Mavericks 127
NBA · 2026-04-03 · Winner: Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic defeated Dallas Mavericks 138–127 on 2026-04-03 in NBA play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:18 swung win probability 20% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dallas Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | 38 | 33 | 40 | 27 | 138 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 31 | 27 | 34 | 35 | 127 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:18 swung win probability 20% → 56%.
Why Dallas Mavericks lost
- Lost Q1 31-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 9:59 (win probability 1% → 0% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | 8–0 | Q1 4:53 | 68% → 40% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 10–0 | Q2 5:18 | 20% → 56% |
| Orlando Magic | 11–0 | Q3 10:50 | 25% → 2% |
| Orlando Magic | 16–0 | Q4 9:59 | 1% → 0% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 10–0 | Q4 7:57 | 0% → 0% |