Miami Heat 120, Cleveland Cavaliers 103
NBA · 2026-03-25 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Cleveland Cavaliers 120–103 on 2026-03-25 in NBA play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:11 swung win probability 9% → 54%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cleveland Cavaliers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 28 | 35 | 20 | 37 | 120 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 19 | 27 | 37 | 20 | 103 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:11 swung win probability 9% → 54%.
Why Cleveland Cavaliers lost
- Lost Q4 20-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 8:21 (win probability 17% → 3% for the home side).
- Shot 50.6% eFG vs a 56.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q1 3:43 | 27% → 54% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q2 8:21 | 17% → 3% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 10–0 | Q3 4:01 | 3% → 27% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 9–0 | Q3 0:11 | 9% → 54% |